Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008432 0.009467 0.010600 0.011938 0.013478 0.015201 0.017281
2025-05-11 0.006832 0.008232 0.009899 0.012046 0.014759 0.018105 0.022587
2025-05-18 0.005852 0.007380 0.009300 0.011919 0.015448 0.020102 0.026819
2025-05-25 0.005248 0.006864 0.008987 0.012025 0.016341 0.022371 0.031653
2025-06-01 0.004715 0.006355 0.008589 0.011918 0.016866 0.024132 0.035969
2025-06-08 0.004194 0.005796 0.008044 0.011510 0.016861 0.025065 0.039111
2025-06-15 0.003888 0.005502 0.007835 0.011549 0.017506 0.027034 0.044182
2025-06-22 0.003727 0.005399 0.007885 0.011976 0.018789 0.030169 0.051736
2025-06-29 0.003431 0.005064 0.007548 0.011745 0.018954 0.031434 0.056128
2025-07-06 0.003166 0.004752 0.007217 0.011482 0.019022 0.032515 0.060328
2025-07-13 0.002981 0.004551 0.007042 0.011457 0.019493 0.034372 0.066364
2025-07-20 0.002885 0.004483 0.007073 0.011786 0.020633 0.037629 0.075900
2025-07-27 0.002719 0.004296 0.006907 0.011775 0.021189 0.039934 0.084107
2025-08-03 0.002584 0.004151 0.006802 0.011869 0.021972 0.042850 0.094457
2025-08-10 0.002429 0.003959 0.006594 0.011745 0.022297 0.044838 0.103018
2025-08-17 0.002322 0.003842 0.006512 0.011849 0.023100 0.047995 0.115308
2025-08-24 0.002195 0.003681 0.006333 0.011744 0.023443 0.050155 0.125496
2025-08-31 0.002041 0.003458 0.006022 0.011342 0.023085 0.050607 0.131018
2025-09-07 0.001955 0.003356 0.005931 0.011381 0.023719 0.053573 0.144693
2025-09-14 0.001922 0.003347 0.006018 0.011800 0.025283 0.059158 0.168091
2025-09-21 0.001816 0.003196 0.005813 0.011573 0.025284 0.060661 0.178757
2025-09-28 0.001715 0.003047 0.005603 0.011315 0.025178 0.061858 0.188767
2025-10-05 0.001646 0.002955 0.005503 0.011290 0.025651 0.064759 0.205766